Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 75560.312650 79849.771820 84144.250313 88763.267332 93587.747753 98475.021076 103797.048543
2025-12-07 68773.256288 75327.872804 82078.630018 89541.469598 97550.660634 105878.413013 115182.363556
2025-12-14 63430.255569 71488.309976 79975.837872 89562.602242 100069.992943 111216.097653 123913.614614
2025-12-21 59487.201144 68674.146236 78534.188270 89871.703829 102514.894139 116147.284161 131923.809537
2025-12-28 57041.845254 67230.212186 78342.952883 91316.820783 105998.399608 122047.400449 140866.803568
2026-01-04 54736.448470 65738.049236 77914.199676 92325.255865 108847.944729 127130.824975 148820.300016
2026-01-11 52524.740363 64192.163504 77280.597555 92967.244111 111168.720677 131533.374942 155947.742030
2026-01-18 50265.390615 62454.809794 76304.112021 93099.679842 112806.696192 135083.815502 162051.935049
2026-01-25 48282.922862 60934.296416 75481.679754 93319.664775 114468.508917 138604.477135 168086.236251
2026-02-01 46303.813642 59320.857301 74461.906002 93224.755530 115691.199232 141563.414754 173434.660704
2026-02-08 44911.679339 58346.998889 74142.283139 93907.522778 117790.406669 145522.151781 179949.033883
2026-02-15 43217.943805 56931.104546 73224.375070 93809.600730 118906.387002 148284.325447 185030.525478
2026-02-22 42311.382480 56467.146918 73453.488529 95107.332508 121726.598422 153120.640689 192662.091373
2026-03-01 41231.839222 55743.589702 73328.859297 95945.410525 123975.874046 157277.692950 199507.723896
2026-03-08 39828.869193 54556.893627 72581.902459 95971.060164 125196.820505 160173.861792 204828.771199
2026-03-15 38656.065818 53619.260359 72106.281980 96298.879515 126763.681167 163476.801251 210647.417502
2026-03-22 38109.488351 53464.394172 72598.062427 97828.080550 129820.464634 168613.430257 218739.573729
2026-03-29 37390.156400 53054.050342 72739.807287 98894.967772 132289.371302 173030.466140 225968.842540
2026-04-05 36541.470568 52441.753132 72595.253478 99574.090638 134255.798075 176823.596257 232441.089854
2026-04-12 35506.251803 51546.508178 72053.255450 99714.181101 135517.414914 179728.635766 237812.591760
2026-04-19 34561.616319 50741.935816 71601.781558 99946.873870 136879.649947 182752.581565 243339.836665
2026-04-26 33526.168901 49781.845695 70916.053647 99846.482980 137792.243036 185198.031189 248140.247018
2026-05-03 32868.032282 49316.414467 70867.470426 100568.662322 139761.815209 188986.110568 254656.537706